alt Hacker NewsYou give examples where crafts based on pre-industrial technology still exist. You're right, but you're proving the GP's point.
200 years ago, being a blacksmith was a viable career path. Now it's not. The use of hand tools, hand knitting, and hand forging is limited to niche, exotic, or hobbyist areas. The same could be said of making clothes by hand or developing film photographs. Coding will be relegated to the same purgatory: not completely forgotten, but considered an obsolete eccentricity. Effectively all software will be made by AI. Students will not study coding, the knowledge of our generation will be lost.
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I doubt hobbyists would describe their hobby as purgatory.
I doubt the laborer would describe their toil as "craft".
I don't think that's a good comparison though. We shouldn't compare AI/Software to handcrafting one item, you should compare to handcrafting the machine that crafts the items.
If I knit a hat, I can sell it once, but if I make a game, I can run or sell it repeatedly.
However, I still agree with the outcome - if AI becomes even better and is economically viable - number of people handcrafting software will reduce drastically.
> Effectively all software will be made by AI. Students will not study coding, the knowledge of our generation will be lost.
Given the echo chamber of HN when it comes to AI that certainly seems inevitable. The question is - who would work on novel things or further AI model improvements if it so happens that knowledge of writing software by hand disappears?
I know people who make their living doing those niche things. So what if they're niche? Enterprise Software Architect is niche. Aerospace Engineer is niche. Hell, finding somebody under the age of 40 who can write Assembly is niche.
Everything gets worse overtime. Even before AI, I was constantly complaining about how technology is enshittifying. I'm sure my parents complained about things getting worse, and their parents. Yet here we are, the peak achievement of living beings on this planet, making do. I think we will be OK without typing in by hand a thing that didn't even exist 70 years ago.