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nozzlegearyesterday at 9:16 PM3 repliesview on HN

Every S-curve looks like an exponential until you hit the bend.


Replies

NitpickLawyeryesterday at 9:24 PM

We've been hearing this for 3 years now. And especially 25 was full of "they've hit a wall, no more data, running out of data, plateau this, saturated that". And yet, here we are. Models keep on getting better, at more broad tasks, and more useful by the month.

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raincoleyesterday at 9:29 PM

This quote would be more impactful if people haven't been repeating it since gpt-4 time.

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famouswafflestoday at 2:30 AM

Cool I guess. Kind of a meaningless statement yeah? Let's hit the bend, then we'll talk. Until then repeating, 'It's an S Curve guys and what's more, we're near the bend! trust me" ad infinitum is pointless. It's not some wise revelation lol.

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