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schifferntoday at 2:45 AM1 replyview on HN

>Waymo is doing the thing.

This worldview is overly simplistic.

Waymo has (very shrewdly, for prospective investors at least) executed a strategy that most quickly scales to 0.1% of the population. Unfortunately it doesn't scale further. The cars are too costly and the mapping is too costly. There is no workable plan for significant scale from Waymo.

Tesla is executing the strategy that most quickly scales to 100% of the population.


Replies

ra7today at 4:09 AM

> Tesla is executing the strategy that most quickly scales to 100% of the population.

So, uh… where is this “scale” then? This “strategy” has been bandied about for better part of a decade. Why are they still in a tiny geofence in Austin with chase cars?

Waymo is doing it right now. Half a million rides every week, expansion to a dozen new cities. Tesla does a few hundred in a tiny area.

Scale is assessed by looking at concrete numbers, not by “strategies” that haven’t materialized for a decade.