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xvectoryesterday at 7:56 PM6 repliesview on HN

How are they not overvalued? At some point OSS will be sufficient for most businesses, what then?


Replies

ibejoebyesterday at 9:57 PM

>OSS will be sufficient for most businesses

Only for well defined tasks. There's not really a practical upper bound. We will keep throwing more complex tasks at it to the extent that it can handle them. Like if you just need fancy OCR, then a specific model will probably suffice, but there will be an appetite for human- or superhuman-level intelligence that never gets tired and has no rights.

nikcubyesterday at 9:20 PM

Funny I consider this valuation modest considering what the max extent of the investment thesis is here.

SaaS and legal market caps have already contracted a multiple of the combined OpenAI + Anthropic valuations just based on the _threat_ of what they may be able to accomplish.

They'll have the data + knowledge edge over open alternatives and be able to implement + deploy (see the story about Anthropic employees being at GS for 6 months already[0])

[0] https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/06/anthropic-goldman-sachs-ai-m...

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mcmcmcyesterday at 8:07 PM

They’ll become commodity AI compute providers while training and selling premium foundation models.

phreezayesterday at 8:03 PM

These companies are spending billions on custom datasets for a gazillion of valuable tasks and are clamping down on exfil for distillation. It's not guaranteed open source models will continue to keep pace.

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Yizahiyesterday at 9:13 PM

Then they will fall back on the selling their other real competitive products - hardware accelerators, phones and PCs, cloud storage and cloud compute, enterprise software, databases, operating systems, office and media suits... Oh wait...

vessenesyesterday at 8:24 PM

What do you value a company at that has gotten to $14b in revenue in 3 years and has 60%+ margin on inference? Just out of curiosity.

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