alt Hacker News> hundreds of thousands of miles without incident
Almost there. Humans kill one person every 100 million miles driven. To reach mass adoption, self-driving car need to kill one every, say, billion miles. Which means dozens or hundreds of billions miles driven to reach statistical significance.
Replies
> to reach mass adoption, self-driving car need to kill one every, say, billion miles
They need to be around parity. So a death every 100mm miles or so. The number of folks who want radically more safety are about balanced by those who want a product in market quicker.
Almost - fatalities are obviously important, but not the only metric.
You can prove Tesla's system is a joke with a magnitude of metrics.
A death is a catastrophic case, but even a mild collision with bumps and bruises to the people involved would set back Tesla years.
People have an expectation that self driving cars will be magical in ability. Look at the flac waymo has received despite it's most egregious violations being fender bender equivalents
> To reach mass adoption, self-driving car need to kill one every, say, billion miles.
Important correction “kill one or less, per billion miles”. Before someone reluctantly engineers an intentional sacrifice to meet their quota.