Then why aren’t we seeing orders of magnitude more software being produced?
Didn't we have a post the other day saying that the number of "Show HN" posts is skyrocketing?
This question remains the 900-pound gorilla of this discussion
Claude Code released just over a year ago, agentic coding came into its own maybe in May or June of last year. Maybe give it a minute?
Why do you assume there isn't?
Enterprise (+API) usage of LLMs has continued to grow exponentially.
It doesn't appear to have improved the quality of the software we have either.
we are. you can check the APP STORE release yoy. it's skyrocketing.
"The future is already here, it's just not evenly distributed"
I think we are. There's definitely been an uptick in "show HN" type posts with quite impressively complex apps that one person developed in a few weeks.
From my own experience, the problem is that AI slows down a lot as the scale grows. It's very quick to add extra views to a frontend, but struggles a lot more in making wide reaching refactors. So it's very easy to start a project, but after a while your progress slows significantly.
But given I've developed 2 pretty functional full stack applications in the last 3 months, which I definitely wouldn't have done without AI assistance, I think it's a fair assumption that lots of other people are doing the same. So there is almost certainly a lot more software being produced than there was before.