alt Hacker News>My read of the recent discussion is that people assume that the work of far fewer number of elites will define the patterns for the future.
Even if we assume that's true, what will prevent atrophy of the skillset among the elites with such a small pool of practitioners?
Money and fame. Lots of money and fame.
There is no shortage of Olympic hopeful elite athletes every four years, despite the incredibly small pool of competitors at each Games.
Same for musicians.
This kind of Winner-Take-All Economics or Superstar Market is what capital wants in their ideal world in markets with near-zero marginal costs of distribution. Even if software creation in the long-term does not fall to this kind of labor market, LLM's can establish a "market can be irrational longer than you can stay solvent" dynamic where capital can run the labor market like this for software for a generation or three before having to face the reflexivity music, like they did for US manufacturing.