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adverblyyesterday at 11:23 AM9 repliesview on HN

Well hopefully this is short, minimally lethal, and leads to regime change for all those involved.


Replies

Zealotuxyesterday at 11:29 AM

>leads to regime change for all those involved

Including for the U.S. and Israel?

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jari_mustonenyesterday at 2:16 PM

There is nothing ideal about that outcome. The "regime change" people talk about is intended to look like what happened in Libya: A failed state that falls in anarchy.

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shevy-javayesterday at 11:27 AM

Iraq? Afghanistan? Vietnam?

I don't think any of these were short.

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markus_zhangyesterday at 3:05 PM

You can’t be short, minimal lethal AND regime change. Gotta be pretty bloody to make that happen.

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Braxton1980yesterday at 2:14 PM

Based on previous American wars in the middle east wouldn't you say that's unlikely?

franktankbankyesterday at 2:07 PM

Won't there be boots on the ground? We already bombed their facilities and at the time they said best that bombs can do is fuck up the entrance to these tunnels.

rambojohnsonyesterday at 4:26 PM

u sweet summer child.

Benderyesterday at 2:05 PM

Well hopefully this is short, minimally lethal, and leads to regime change for all those involved.

That would be ideal but unfortunately not likely. Nobody will like this comment but US ships are sitting ducks. They have minimal ammo per the pentagon and no oilers. No oilers and low ammo means no prolonged conflict. Only two of the ships are nuclear powered not counting submarines. Most of Iran's military and weapons are deep underground in a massive series of underground cities and tunnels. The US would require boots on the ground if they manage to breach the tunnel openings under the mountains. Should that fail the only viable targets are civilians and that won't win favor with anyone or accomplish anything.

Iranian military could just wait it out if they wanted and then smoke Israel with supersonic missiles when the US leaves. Then we find out if Israel does have the nukes for the Samson option and that would result in the destruction of Israel. Iran's military could survive a nuclear strike but would have to clean up the fallout and I am not sure they could. Anyone not underground would likely get Acute Radiation Sickness and Cancer.

On a positive note if the US can manage to get into the tunnels and send in enough munitions to start detonating the missile stockpile a chain reaction could crack all the concrete and collapse the tunnels. Satellite could detect which tunnel they try to evac from. They have less than 5 days to accomplish the chain reaction assuming this is the plan. From the videos I have seen the missiles are literally lined up like a double-strand fuse.

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plaidfujiyesterday at 6:58 PM

> Minimally lethal

“Israel strikes two schools in Iran, killing more than 80 people”

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2026/2/28/israel-strikes-...

Welp, better luck next time

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