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meatmanek • yesterday at 7:09 PM • 1 reply • view on HN

I think there's a lot of false assumptions in that assertion:

   - that a bunch of users won't jump ship if Apple stagnates for 5 years
   - that a product based on a model with Q12026 SoTA performance would be competitive with products using 2031's models.
   - that just having access to good (by 2025/2026 standards) models is the big thing that Apple needs in order for Apple Intelligence to finally be useful.
On that last point, I think the OS/app-level features are almost more important than the model itself. If the model can't _do_ anything, it doesn't really matter how intelligent it is. If Apple sits on their laurels for 5 years, would their OS, built-in apps, and 3rd-party apps have all the hooks needed for a useful AI product?

Replies

ASalazarMX • yesterday at 10:37 PM

> - that a bunch of users won't jump ship if Apple stagnates for 5 years

This is the most unlikely proposition, given how Apple has managed to be a decade behind and still very profitable.

Besides that, having a Claw-like AI with full access to your phone is surely a recipe for disaster. IMO Apple is being justifiably cautious in staying an spectator, looking busy, and waiting to make a deal with the winner of the chatbot wars.