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r2obyesterday at 4:49 PM4 repliesview on HN

El Niño, volcanism, and solar variation.

it's not about us guys, relax.


Replies

tomgpyesterday at 4:57 PM

Interstingly a paper was published today which confirms accelerated warming whislt accounting for the effects of natural fluctations (el nino, volcanism and solar radiation etc) https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2025...

>We remove the estimated influence of three main natural variability factors: El Niño, volcanism, and solar variation. The resulting adjusted and thus less “noisy” data show that there has been acceleration with over 98% confidence, with faster warming over the last 10+ years than during any previous decade.

Dumblydorryesterday at 4:53 PM

I’m not sure if this comment was low effort or sarcasm but it certainly doesn’t further discussion per HN guidelines.

Those are factors in this analysis that weren’t in all prior analyses, and the confidence levels in this analysis have improved greatly and we know much more certainly that global temps are rising faster now than earlier decades.

cataflamtoday at 1:00 AM

You're getting downvoted because you didn't read the article.

It is specifically about cleaning up the data by removing these 3 and showing a clearer picture of acceleration without these 3 factors.

knowaveragejoeyesterday at 5:07 PM

Any excuse to pretend we aren't contributing.