alt Hacker NewsThe optimal amount of generative AI in the world is zero. There are three possible scenarios, all of them bad:
1. Weaker than expected AI.
Great Depression 2.0. Widespread poverty and suffering as the enormous investments already made fail to pay off.
2. AI works as expected.
Dystopia. A few trillionaires gain absolute control of the entire world, and everyone else is enslaved or killed.
3. Stronger than excepted AI.
Hard take-off singularity scenario. Extinction of all biological life.
It's probably hopeless to resist at this point, but we should at least try.
Replies
You do realize that AI seems magical because text response is converted into actions or tool calls. The AI is deciding the order in which the tools get called to fulfill your prompts. True Intelligence of Type 2 and 3 above needs to formulate, plan, analyse tradeoffs, think critically and solve novel unforeseen problems.
you may notice tbat the same people benefit from 1 and 2 and 3 is just a fantasy sold to the plebs to detract attention from 1 and 2
what a councidence
I had a similar opinion until I started to see a flood of outages, data leaks, money being pulled, etc starting to crop up right as co's started hailing AI as the second coming.
Now? I'm waiting for the inevitable reality check. AI doesn't go away (I personally don't want it to; it's a power tool for an experienced dev), but imo, the market is not too far from correcting the hype. Reality can only shoulder so much bs before the rubber has to hit the road.
The promises being made over the last few years are not being fulfilled and big money likes results, not talk. So, unless we get another (significant) rabbit coming out of the hat in 2026, the momentum (again, imo) won't be there to sustain the necessary long-term growth (i.e., in terms of mass-adoption, this era of AI is closer to AOL than Facebook).