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sreanlast Thursday at 10:35 AM1 replyview on HN

Some correlations are fine though, there are versions of CLT that applies even when there are benign correlations.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_limit_theorem#Dependen...

I know you know that and were just simplifying. Just wanted this fact to be better known for practitioners. Your comment on multiplicative processes is spot on.

I say more here

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47437152

It's bit of a shame that these other limiting distributions are not as tractable as the Gaussian.


Replies

btillylast Thursday at 6:51 PM

Absolutely. The effect of straightforward correlations is a change in the variance, which can be measured in finance.

The effect of the nonlinear changing correlations is that future global behavior can't be predicted from local observations without a very sophisticated model.