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roenxilast Thursday at 10:44 AM1 replyview on HN

That isn't the case; mathematicians will do pages of calculations (particularly and especially the statisticians) if they can prove one approach is technically superior to another. These people, as a class, are the crazies who invented matrix multiplication. Something like MMSE is used because it provably optimum properties for estimating a posterior distribution.

It is certainly possible that there are complex approaches that the statisticians have not discovered or don't teach because they are too complicated, but they had a big fight about which techniques were provably superior early in the discipline's history and the choices of what got standardised on weren't because of ease of calculation. It has actually been quite interesting how little interest the statisticians are likely to be taking in things like the machine learning revolution since the mathematics all seems pretty amenable to last century's techniques despite orders of magnitude differences in the data being handled.


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fritzolast Thursday at 4:08 PM

> optimum properties for estimating a posterior distribution

Circular reasoning: that's true only if the posterior is normal, or if your "optimal" is defined by second moments. In infinite variance cases, the best estimator can be median or an alpha moment for alpha < 2, but yikes the math is much more difficult.

-- A mathematician who has indeed fallen into the beauty trap

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