> I suspect fascism is currently winning
I think this war is actually pushing many away from fascism. Trump was the reference for a lot of the European right and this is showing people he was terrible and, by extension, embarrassing them all.
Heck, Orbán is currently running an electoral campaign as "the candidate of peace".
With the price of petrol skyrocketing, what I see in France are people complaining about taxes, not the war started by Trump.
And they still don't see the point of EVs.
Those short-sighted people are the ones cheering for fascism, so the current events have no impact on their vote.
If Trump wasn't embarrassing for them before I doubt they're embarrassed now.