I buy the argument 'we should prepare for Q-Day as crypto agility is hard', but the newest paper doesn’t change the timeline meaningfully.

Given TFA accepts that error correction is the bottleneck for progress, and the gap between any and lots of error correction is small, and we presently have close to 0 error correction then nothing has practically changed with reduced qubit requirements.

Of course, it’s totally fine to have and announce a change of view on the topic, though I don’t see how the Google paper materially requires it.