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krashidovtoday at 6:40 PM2 repliesview on HN

Isn't this just picking up pennies on an active railroad track? You'll win small bets and then get run over once a long tail event completely wipes you out.


Replies

achandra03today at 6:59 PM

I don't think the author is trying to pretend this is some sophisticated strategy you should actually use (note the chudjak in the image on github)

_3u10today at 6:58 PM

If you bet it all on one event yes, otherwise long tail just loses your bet. Downside risk is limited to your bet.