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bargainbinyesterday at 7:15 PM4 repliesview on HN

71 cents*, the bookie gets a cut either way it goes.


Replies

Cthulhu_yesterday at 9:34 PM

This is the truth of the matter, ultimately nobody wins except the bookie, who profits either way.

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zahlmanyesterday at 8:04 PM

Even if a cut isn't taken and there aren't other inefficiencies, any money tied up in long-term predictions is earning 0% instead of whatever the current risk-free rate of return is.

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dlgeektoday at 1:11 AM

Wouldn't it be 75 cents then? (The cut would come out of higher pricing, since the payout is always a dollar).

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mr_00ff00yesterday at 8:02 PM

Untrue for polymarket. True for kalshi. No bookie fees on polymarket

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