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ggreeryesterday at 2:48 PM3 repliesview on HN

> If one person can do this then thousands should also be able to.

That’s not at all true. Very few people take the time to drive thousands of miles in a short period of time and document it while never intervening for any reason (not even accidentally bumping the wheel).

Anyways, I remember you. You claimed that Tesla would never remove safety drivers from their robotaxis.[1] I tried to get us to bet on this prediction but you never replied.

Well, Tesla has removed safety drivers from some of their robotaxis, meaning your prediction that their technology is “never going to be reliable enough” was falsified within a few months.

1. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45661368


Replies

bdangubicyesterday at 4:09 PM

Tesla is on fire, took them 12 years to have few cars drive from point A to point B (not always safe but progress nonetheless)… suprised their P/E is not in the many thousands with this amazing feat they accomplished, well ahead of all of their competitors

ImPostingOnHNyesterday at 4:04 PM

> Very few people take the time to drive thousands of miles in a short period of time

Luckily that's not a requirement here. If your 1 example, your 1 datapoint isn't a fluke, then someone driving 100 miles should have 1/10th the interruptions as someone driving 1000 miles.

If you have to intervene 0 times in 1000 miles, and that isn't an outler, then we should expect to see 0 intervention required in all 100 mile drives, all 10 mile drives, and all 1 mile drives. Unless it's a fluke.

Statistics > 1 anecdotal post about a car on the car company CEO's website.

UltraSaneyesterday at 3:59 PM

It is true because millions of people own Tesla's with FSD. Moreover if FSD really worked this well Tesla would be happily publishing this data at tesla.com/FSDstats . But instead Tesla is very secretive with their FSD data because it overall isn't very good.

"Tesla has removed safety drivers from some of their robotaxis"

Why doesn't Tesla has as many empty Robotaxis as Waymo has cars? Because Robotaxis aren't good enough. The entire Robotaxi rollout is a very carefully choreographed smoke and mirrors show to inflate Tesla share price. Tesla doesn't even have the permits to operate Robotaxis in California and probably never will because they are actually stricter vs Texas.

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