I think you'd appreciate some of the more philosophical thoughts behind folks like Robin Hanson or gwern, then. Or even father down that road, books like The Enigma of Reason.

The idea that previous business success only weakly predicts future business success, and that that correlation probably becomes even weaker as one tries things increasingly far from the perimeter, is one I believe in but can't really trace back to any concrete source, which suggests my worldview just dynamically generates it off the dome in response to this story. I probably have imbibing their arguments over a decade plus to thank for that.

I'm still a big fan of patio11 though. Starfighter is maybe best seen these days as watching a man be professionally slightly embarrassed, then dusting himself off and going on to do a bunch of cool stuff afterwards anyway, weak correlations be damned.