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grueztoday at 2:18 AM4 repliesview on HN

> Problem was, the model was wrong.

I thought despite the fraud, it's still the best model we have[1]? The fact there was fraud doesn't mean the model is immediately incorrect. At best, it means its foundations are shakier than we thought, but it's not a slam dunk repudiation.

[1] https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/in-defense-of-the-amyloid-h...


Replies

bradley13today at 10:20 AM

Pretty clearly not. It would seem that beta amyloids correlate with Alzheimer's, but do not cause it.

The problem us "consensus science". You could get funding to research beta amyloids, but not to research any competing hypotheses.

It's much like climate science today: any dissent at all, even just questioning the predictions of catastrophe, immediately brands you as a heretic.

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Drupontoday at 7:17 AM

>I am David Schneider-Joseph, an engineer formerly with SpaceX and Google, now working in AI safety. Alzheimer’s isn’t my field

If anyone wants to know who wrote the article linked before wasting time reading it, there you go.

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mnodetoday at 6:34 AM

Many in the research community realised the model was wrong a long time ago. This is a great read about the reasons why: 'How not to study a disease: the story of Alzheimer’s.' by Karl Herrup.

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friendzistoday at 8:23 AM

It's a classic example of "correlation does not imply causation". It was indeed observed that some patients with neurodegenerative conditions do indeed have amyloid plaques. It was further observed that patients with known Alzheimer's do not necessarily have amyloid plaques and patients without it do have plaques. The existence of amyloid plaques itself or the level, apparently, correlates extremely poorly, if at all, with the existence, onset or severity of the disease. Drugs attacking amyloid plaques might work, but they don't reverse the disease and do very little to slow progression. That's all scientific observations.

> I thought despite the fraud, it's still the best model we have[1]?

It is observed that one of the features of neurodegenerative diseases is decline in glucose metabolism. Supplementing energy availability (e.g. ketones [1], creatine [2]) does improve symptoms in patients with wide variety of CNS diseases, including Alzheimer's, senile dementia, epilepsy, and migraines.

The ATN model you have linked might as well be just ONE OF possible pathways to glucose uptake inhibition, which could be the causal pathology of the symptoms.

So no, it is very much not necessarily the best model we have. Inhibiting any pathway towards a disease is always a good thing, but the characteristics of "best" models are broad applicability and we have a serious contender.

[1]: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1016/j.nurt.2008.05.004 [2]: https://alz-journals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.100...