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woeiruayesterday at 4:46 PM1 replyview on HN

The hype is extreme right now and everyone is still trying to figure out how to use the tools. People who are further along the bleeding edge are trying to tear down all the process that we used to have to further improve velocity. After people go all the way to "dark factories" most companies will realize that they don't actually have any good ideas for what to build, and honestly never did. They've been coasting for years, someone else can replicate their product now and its just a race to the bottom. At that point, token budgets are going to collapse.

I'm staunchly pro-AI as a technology, but I do think the bubble is going to pop in the next year or two just because the business value won't materialize for most companies fast enough.


Replies

a96today at 10:39 AM

Enshittification of the AI clouds will also pick up speed. Tokens will get more costly, terms and tiers will turn worse etc. And there will be more security incidents on all fronts.