This is why I frequently refer to "next generation AIs" that aren't just LLMs. LLMs are pretty cool and I expect that even if we see no further foundational advancement in AIs that we're going to continue to see them exploited in more interesting ways and optimized better. Even if the models froze as they are today, there's a lot more value to be squeezed out of them as we figure out how to do that.

However, there are some things that I think need a foundational next-generation improvement of some sort. The way that LLMs sort of smudge away "NEVER DO X" and can even after a lot of work end up seeing that as a bit of a "PLEASE DO X" seems fundamental to how they work. It can be easy to lose track of as we are still in the initial flush of figuring out what they can do (despite all we've already found), but LLMs are not everything we're looking for out of AI.

There should be some sort of architecture that can take a "NEVER DO X" and treat it as a human would. There should be some sort of architecture that instead of having a "context window" has memory hierarchies something like we do, where if two people have sufficiently extended conversations with what was initially the same AI, the resulting two AIs are different not just in their context windows but have actually become two individuals.

I of course have no more idea what this looks like than anyone else. But I don't see any reason to think LLMs are the last word in AI.