Please be specific because outside of anecdotal blog posts by people who don’t know what they’re talking about it’s not true. Look at scaling laws, composite benchmarks from the epoch capability index, nothing at all suggests “model progress is slowing down”

Model progress at spitting out unhallucinated facts is slowing down hard. Model progress at solving hard math challenges/programming tasks doesn't seem to be slowing down that I can tell.

Which indications are that?