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delichonyesterday at 8:05 PM1 replyview on HN

I get a lot of value from prediction markets and query for them most days. Today for the Los Angeles Mayor's race and the Kentucky 4th district Representative race. In both cases I saw a big difference between the market and the vibe on my feeds. I believe that the market emits higher quality predictions.

Each market is a community with a financial incentive to think outside of the bubble.


Replies

datadrivenangeltoday at 3:56 AM

prediction more easily allow people to convert money into public opinion, which is suboptimal.