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ACCount37yesterday at 4:58 PM1 replyview on HN

It's blindingly obvious what the big bet is. The senior devs are going to come from the next generations of AI systems.


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K0baltyesterday at 6:46 PM

That’s the big bet, for sure… but if it’s reasoning that the supervising devs are injecting, and ai systems can’t reason, I guess it won’t work? Idk, I kinda think they do reason, though not in the way people might think.

It’s definitely true that they are statistical next token predictors, and that is intrinsically pattern matching, and reasonable to say not capable of reasoning.

But my intuition is that that is not really what is going on. The token prediction is the hardware layer. The software is the sum total of collective human culture they are trained on. The software is doing the reasoning, not the hardware. Like a Z80 can’t play chess, but software that runs on a Z80 certainly can.

Idk, that’s my -feeling- on the conundrum. Who knows, I guess we will find out.

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