alt Hacker News> , models will “be able to complete most text-related tasks with success rates of, on average, 80%–95% by 2029 at a minimally sufficient quality level.”
If this is true, then companies should focus on hiring juniors out of college. The investment is less risky.
However, I don't personally believe this number and timeline is true, but if you do, the conclusion should be to wait and invest in humans.
Replies
mlhpdx • today at 5:52 PM
Oof. And how much more expensive will the models be to get that 80%?
10% failure rate? Wouldn't that be depending on task disastrous? Or possibly expensive?
I think any juniors who keep failing 10% of text based task will eventually get fired... So investing in those that don't fail seems only sensible move as usual.