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tristanjyesterday at 6:20 AM2 repliesview on HN

"go make a new benchmark" completely ignores how this works in practice. Benchmarks are only useful because everyone uses the same one, you can't swap it out. The S&P 500 benchmark is used as a comparison for trillions of dollars of mutual funds, index funds, and institutional mandates. The further the S&P 500 strays from reflecting the actual market, the more useless it becomes.

Also the S&P criteria have been revised multiple times, it's not some sacred unchangeable document.


Replies

dlenskiyesterday at 4:01 PM

> The further the S&P 500 strays from reflecting the actual market, the more useless it becomes.

Here I once again agree with you in part, and disagree in part.

The S&P 500 should reflect the actual market. That is, the actual market of publicly-traded companies with legal requirements for transparent accounting and reasonable expectations of future positive cash flows.

As you wrote yourself (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48408363), "These [mega-cap IPO] companies will likely never meet S&P profitability inclusion criteria for the next 5 years."

At this point in time, I don't think it's reasonable to expect future positive cash flows from SpaceX or Anthropic. There are indeed some reasons to suspect that there won't be future positive cash flows from them.

ywvcbkyesterday at 7:20 AM

You want to turn S&P 500 to a total market index. Why? That was never its purpose.

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