The core issue is that S&P requires companies to be profitable for 12-months to get included in the index. Yet all of SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are highly unprofitable, because they are prioritizing investing all free-cash-flow into growth instead of returning money to shareholders. These companies likely will not be profitable for years, and without a rule change it's unlikely they will be included in the index anytime soon.
Given these large-cap companies currently represent ~5% of the U.S. stock market capitalization, it's difficult to justify why these companies are excluded from a large-cap index.
Given these large-cap companies currently represent ~5% of the U.S. stock market capitalization, it's difficult to justify why these companies are excluded from a large-cap index.
It's not outside the realms of possibility that the price of the shares post-launch could collapse if the market decides they're over-priced. Shares in companies have been known to settle on valuations far below the IPO price in the past. At that point they won't represent ~5% of the total. Changing the index rules immediately before finding out what's going to happen feels like putting the cart before the horse.