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rurbantoday at 7:15 AM2 repliesview on HN

So like at a film festival, 90% of the entries won a price, but unlike a film festival there's not a single best. Weird, like modern education.


Replies

lifthrasiirtoday at 10:28 AM

While this has been downvoted to the death, it is fun to guess how many entries are submitted to each IOCCC. My best guess is around 10^2.5, i.e. 3--400. Rationales:

- The number of winning entries and losing entries that get revealed later in public suggests that this number should be at least 50.

- The number of judging rounds, as the FAQ says, is at least 3 and possibly more. If each judging round eliminates about a half of entries, we should expect at least 10 submissions per each winning entries. I personally think the actual elimination rate can be as low as 1--20% at the end, but at least first few rounds should be easy so I think this is a good minimum guess: 1--200.

- The current number of individual judges is just enough for the three-digit number of submissions. It has a striking resemblance with typical academic conferences with typical acceptance rate, by the way! If there were thousands of submissions (like today's AI conferences...) there ought to be much more judges, and more importantly, more levels of judges so that each judge can do just enough work throughout the entire process. So this establishes the maximum guess: 1,000.

- My best guess is simply a geometric mean of two extrema.