alt Hacker NewsThe “1 year” part is key - all these safeguards etc are basically nonsense because in a few years at most one of the Chinese labs will release something equivalent, and in 10 years you’ll be able to run it locally with absolutely no safeguards at all
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Cthulhu_ • today at 8:57 AM
I think you're very optimistic with the "a few years", I'm confident all of the parties building AI models are working on Mythos equivalents / competitors, and if they can undercut Anthropic by making it more widely available and / or affordable they will. I give it three months tops. In a year all the major players will have an equivalent. In three years it'll be widely available, as more and more AI focused datacenters go online.
Yeah, but now you do have a year to ramp up security on the defensive side, which is not nothing.
I still don't think this is the best way to address overall safety, but it's not entirely unreasonable.
In reality, I think this posturing is mostly nonsense. State level actors and terrorists/evil genii can use a slightly weaker model but spend more tokens. Also, the delta between models seems to shrink over time.