> Now everybody has superpowers.
I think that it's very odd how AI enthusiasts misinterpret the situation. If it turns out to be good enough to produce greenfield projects with agentic coding, then it will not only affect developers, but also whole companies and whole business sectors.
The whole dev agency business model is only there because less technical companies don't know how to deal with software, others are just opportunistic to outsource the initial, headcount heavy work. But now the tech is already at the fingertips of an agencies customer, it is only a matter of time those CEO and managers start vibe coding and realize the "only" need one dev that has glimpse of tech skill.
This could also extend to many SaaS businesses. I still see a lot of small businesses that ask for custom software to get rid of manual work. Serious software devs were always too expensive for them. So they either have crappy code from someones nephew or a SaaS that barely works. Now they can create their custom solutions, probably still quite crappy, but they can get more out of it.
What big tech does is kind of whatever, they are readjusting for recession. I am a bit concerned about the disruption in the small to mid sized tech sectors.
Also quickly writing say a ReactJS app will cost a lot of tokens for debugging because the 1 or 2 people who deliver 10 people's work surely don't have the time and understanding of the code base!
its not a misinterpretation but an observation. your moat as software dev is disappearing. i know several companies that reduced their 20+ full stack dev team to just 4, in some cases they got rid of them all together and it is now the CTO/CEO + contractors who are paid hourly and working less than 20 hours a week on average.
We are only getting started, this trend is not going to revert, we are going to get cheaper tokens and more Fable 5 exceeding models that are going to be faster and easier to use.
We had a recession before personal computing took off and another one after the dot com bubble, this didn't put any hinderance on adaoption of the new tech it increased it