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postepowanieadmtoday at 9:13 AM3 repliesview on HN

How do you asses the value? You use the x last transactions. No transactions, no data, the last value remains.


Replies

AnthonyMousetoday at 9:25 AM

"Last value" is pretty meaningless when it's stale though.

Suppose there is a building that was built in 1970, last rented out in 1975 and then bought by a company that has used it as their own offices until now. The last transaction was in 1975, what's the value if they apply for a mortgage today? Surely they have some formula to use for this based on e.g. other buildings in the area.

Moreover, "failure to find a tenant" is also a type of transaction. It's the landlord acting as the high bidder for the space, essentially the involuntary edition of imputed rent, and implies something negative about the financial prospects of the building when it continues for a significant period of time or large percentage of units. Ignoring that it is either incompetence or some kind of perverse incentive.

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arczatoday at 9:18 AM

If a coffee shop is charging $25 for a latte and sells none, we don't say everything's fine because no sales data. The sales are $0 and it's not fine.

There is no escaping the powers of supply and demand.

lotsofpulptoday at 9:31 AM

“You” require a continuous analysis of cash flow to continuously determine value, and proper management. A simple, and common, requirement in commercial lending called the debt service coverage ratio.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dscr.asp

Lower income for the building means lower numerator, which means being unable to meet the agreed upon DSCR, which means default. Whether or not the lender acts on this default is a separate matter, as they are usually loathe to get into the property management business, but renegotiation of terms and eventually foreclosure does happen.