alt Hacker NewsThe minute an open model breaks through and beats Claude Opus/Fable, it's over.
There are far more opportunities that can be served when the world's intellectuals have the raw weights and can fine tune, splice, distill, and reapply.
Imagine having raw unfettered access to Fable. It can be refit to structural biology. It can be fine tuned on the repo for smaller context requirements. It can be run cheaper and air gapped.
The world wants this.
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As crazy as this sounds, and as much I don't want to believe it myself, I think we're still underestimating LLMs, and we're gonna get to that point pretty soon.
The world does want this. Opus capabilities, in a box, securely tunneled to my family and I utilizing the resources I already have available to me which is, energy + network.
I don’t think we need them. I think the models we have are good enough. It’s the orchestration layer that makes the biggest difference at this point. The open source models we have are capable of calling tools and the work is getting them to be capable enough to know which tools to call and what to do in response.
I think we are leaving the main frame era of AI and entering the PC era already. If there wasn’t a RAM shortage and we all had 2TB of ram and GPUs we would all have large local models or personal APIs serving our teams.
That’s why all the labs are moving to the App layer and moving away from being the API for intelligence like they were originally.