I think the bigger issue is the ever increasing capital requirements, which may cause even the closed weight companies to fall away from the frontier, e.g. Google & Meta are barely hanging on. For Google it feels a bit existential to remain at the frontier, but even then they're barely there.
I hope that we find ways of continuing to improve these models besides continuing to exponentially increase capex spend until all but one of your competitors falls away.
Google and Meta's failures are more due to mismanagement no?
Isn't another issue that most successful open models are distilled from closed models, but closed models are putting more and better safeguards against distillation?