> It is almost guaranteed it will also introduce export controls on the models.

The current models are open weights and already out the door. They are hosted by many providers and are already comparatively good in many domains. Even if this generation is the last one to be open, I‘d argue it would already put the US providers in trouble

I’ve been asking myself this question quite a bit lately. People seem to suddenly think China is a good alternative to the US hegemony status. I sincerely hope I’m just misreading things.

Right now they are the one competing openly

Export controls are only a strategic advantage if the export destinations don't already have the same (or better) technology. That time may come, but first China needs to export to destroy the AI industry in the USA.

I disagree. With America turtling up into a Christian nationalist theocracy the world is China's to win. They still want free trade.

[flagged]