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AnimalMuppetyesterday at 5:58 PM3 repliesview on HN

How many credits would it buy? How long would it take to use them up? What's the payback period?

From what I understand, for a developer, $5000/month is maybe the high end, but $5000/year is fairly standard. (Is that accurate?) So if it pays back in 15 months, that's pretty decent. If it pays back in two months, that's spectacular.


Replies

dminikyesterday at 6:52 PM

Using some rough napkin (well, spreadsheet) math, if you ran Qwen 27B for every minute every day at the current price of $0.195/$1.56 with a 2:1 input to output ratio (eg. agentic coding) at the advertised 22 tps it would take you just about 11 years to get to ~$5000 spent.

Disclaimer: There's a 35% sale from Alibaba right now. And I'm not accounting for input tokens going faster than output tokens.

eliyesterday at 6:16 PM

Are you comparing the cost of hosted Opus to running Qwen 3.6 locally? That doesn't really seem fair.