This doesn't seem at all unlikely to me. I think we sometimes forget the ease (in terms of scale and cost) of standing up a massive astroturfing campaign.
That said, I don't think this particular comment has the flavor, tone, or message I'd expect, and it does seem to be a genuine HN poster.
And the kicker is that this could be an ai-agent doing the astroturfing. Now that even the common man can run local ai-agents that can post.