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glimshetoday at 3:22 PM3 repliesview on HN

How much are we going to pay for "AI kits" once the DRAM shortage is over? Will we be able to run a local model equivalent to the current AI frontier in sub $1000 hardware, even if dedicated, in 5 years?


Replies

url00today at 3:31 PM

Yeeeeep. There is no moat at the moment. AI companies are trying to dig one as fast as they possibly can. Either through passing laws to prevent local inference ("It's too dangerous! We need to control it") or by creating/limiting possible integrations (locking down OS/hardware, APIs/MCPs that only work with Claude/ChatGPT, etc).

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moelftoday at 3:26 PM

frontier to laptop runnable open weight so far seems to be ~2 years latency, so maybe there's some hope

tracker1today at 4:17 PM

When this hardware was announced, it was expected to be in the $1200-1400 range new... so, maybe. The real question is will the powers that be let this bubble burst, and how painful will the fallout be... I have a feeling it will be worse than 2001-2002.