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maerF0x0today at 5:04 PM2 repliesview on HN

Personally? China. Is it rational, IDK. It's just the largest more capable power at this moment. (particularly their industrial base and ability to out produce weapons / soldiers)


Replies

padjotoday at 6:39 PM

It's not rational. China has even less interest in invading the USA than the USA has in invading China. And I think the USA's interest is effectively zero.

toephu2today at 5:15 PM

Why would they want to? China’s entire economic model relies on the US remaining a stable, wealthy consumer base for their industrial output. Physically invading your largest customer is a form of economic suicide.

They don't want to govern California; they want to ensure that the global infrastructure, shipping lanes, and institutions run on Chinese technology and standards. From Beijing's perspective, a kinetic war on the US mainland destroys the exact global economy they are trying to lead.