> can better infer the user’s underlying goal and intended level of work
This is a trap.
It's the optimistic fallacy that poisons all "consumer scale" machine learning products and what's going to effectively ruin these models as they keep chasing it in the same way that web queries were ruined, social media feeds were ruined, and media recommenders were ruined.
For the vendor, optimizing metrics across their whole user base, they always see positive technological progress as their system gets better at making assumptions and accumulating user engagement scores in aggregate. But for the individual user, most of which has some weird tail intent/interest and some of whom have many weird tail intent/interests, the experience quietly but catastrophically degrades. Output/results become more generic, more divergent with the underspecified "weird tail" intent, and more stubbornly hard to ever wrangle towards that "weird tail" altogether.
We've been watching this cycle happen for 20 years now and it's proving hard for anybody to escape because it works so well for the trillion dollar company driving it forward. But while each step might feel ergonomic and welcome to individual users, there's a frog boiling enshitification at play.
In pursuit of output quality and capability (rather than simply the vendor's user count), what we need rather than "makes better guesses" is "presses for more clarity", even where it feels kind of annoying.
Even among human professionals, one of the first hurdles of breaking out of junior tier work is gaining the confidence to press your colleagues and clients to be more specific in their thoughts and expressions despite their desire to have you do it all for them. But they're often coming to you with incomplete, muddy, and conflicting ideas for which there is no safe and correct assumption that you might just run with, and it's your expertise (i.e. relevant "intelligence") that's critical to bringing attention to that. To achieve professional progression, you need to learn to do that and to not just optimize appeasing the ambiguous client/colleague today in exchange for mutual expense tomorrow. To avoid enshitification, which is probably not possible, we need these models to be learning that too.
It's really easy to test and it's my personal go-to benchmark. I ask the model something deep and unproven, meta physical like "oh, I heard that magic mushrooms can open the mind, but does that mean some of the great ideas people had, famous people were due to that or was the idea already there?" Like, bullshit questions that nudge towards a known example (Steve Jobs in this case) that are hard to answer and then add something like "but I'm mincing my words here, you'll get what I mean". You'll get an interesting interpretation of the question back.
I use better questions than the above but will keep my questions safe so they don't end up in the model, the point is however, when the model repeats your question back to you and "gets" what you really mean, that's a good sign of intuition and also suggests you'll get a response back that hopefully matters.
I want my model to help me build up its own infrastructure that instills it with the sort of constraints I want for my project, rather than have it behave generically and automatically for everything.
It should follow instructions incredibly well while inferring contradictions or gaps in logic and surfacing those to the user as suggestions for improvements and persistence.
I really hate how Claude just assumes you want to do X/Y/Z and goes off and breaks everything and you're constantly screaming at it STOP DOING THAT. Instead, it should just do the minimal things while building its own guidance along the way in a persisted memory, like, 'would you like me to do X, now, and in the future?' etc.
I agree to an extent but it needs to be balanced. Receiving a half-baked, extremely verbose recap of thinking on benign details with Opus 4.8 or GPT 5.5 feels like an extraordinary loss of quality of experience compared with fable 5.
Yes it shares less, but I think the trade-off is you pay less in tokens and hopefully it's truly just not needing to say things because it truly does just better get what you're saying, think to read X markdown file or GH issue which contains the info, etc.
As long as I can still push back and get it to share its thinking on demand and I'm confident the model isn't actually basing things on poor premises, this is okay for me. I am more productive when not inundated with time-wasting check-ins.
That said, I absolutely lament the loss of the ability to access the thinking - I would happily read the "DANGER DANGER DANGER" internal gremlin thoughts fable 5 makes to verify something if they were accessed, and prefer that to a recap presented only for my benefit.