alt Hacker NewsToday's SOTA also sounds totally sufficient to me, but I wonder how much our standards will inflate by 2028. Maybe a lot, maybe not at all...very hard to say.
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stingraycharles • today at 3:47 AM
Looking at how critical we are about today’s models, vs where we were last year, and I don’t expect anyone to be content with Fable-class models in 2028.
Expectations seem to be rising at a faster rate than models can improve.
This seems to vary by person. I get immense value in coding assistance from Qwen 3.6 35B-A3B which is like a frontier model from a year ago. But a lot of people say it’s stupid, useless, a toy, etc. I do work by the “short leash” method and mainly just use the model for brainstorming/planning/design assistance and zipping through the drudgery of boilerplate and executing refactors. I don’t think this tier of model is good for “hey LLM, build me a Github clone” ... but I also don’t see the value in that use anyway.