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tim-tdayyesterday at 11:42 PM4 repliesview on HN

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome

I wonder what spacex will be worth when launching satellites is impossible for a couple hundred years.


Replies

Polizeiposauneyesterday at 11:57 PM

It won't be centuries.

starlink satellites are in low orbits and will deorbit in a few years at most if bricked; to stay in orbit, they use ion thrusters to counter drag from the very uppermost reaches of the atmosphere.

https://ai-solutions.com/newsroom/why-starlink-is-lowering-s...

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zwilyyesterday at 11:52 PM

Kessler is much less of a problem at their altitude (480km). Debris has too much drag and would get pulled down too quick to have a sustained Kessler situation. It's possible, but very very unlikely at that altitude.

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mlindnertoday at 7:47 AM

Kessler syndrome relies on two key provisions:

1. Orbiting objects never try to avoid each other.

2. They're in high enough orbits that atmospheric drag is not a significant factor such that debris can last decades or centuries.

Starlink fails both as they constantly maneuver and they're in low orbits that are constantly cleaned by the atmosphere.

And I'd add that "kessler syndrome" is actually a statistical process, not a rapid sudden cascade of satellites crashing into each other. It takes years to decades for it to actually "happen". It's not something that can be caused by military action either.

NetMageSCWyesterday at 11:50 PM

Stop trying to make Kessler syndrome a thing - it was never a thing, it isn’t a thing, it will never be a thing.

It is just pearl clutching by those too afraid of modern life. Gravity wasn’t a documentary.

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