One could look at the likelihood of spontaneous coal fires and their effects, gather evidence about the activities surrounding the event, essentially trying to narrow down the set of possible states that would lead to the incident and then see what proportion of those states cause the sinking by fire, military action, or something else. But then attaching a number to that seems a dauting task.
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One could look at the likelihood of spontaneous coal fires and their effects, gather evidence about the activities surrounding the event, essentially trying to narrow down the set of possible states that would lead to the incident and then see what proportion of those states cause the sinking by fire, military action, or something else. But then attaching a number to that seems a dauting task.