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GodelNumberingtoday at 3:54 PM6 repliesview on HN

Exactly 4 months ago, the marketshare on openrouter was 60%-40% in favor of closed models. Now it's 63%-37% in favor of open models. On March 19th, the open models processed 888B tokens in aggregate, yesterday, they processed 4.19T tokens in aggregate. That's almost 5x in 4 months! I can't think of the right intensifier to describe this level of growth.

If you are looking for more details (as inferred by openrouter data), I built a dashboard that updates daily: https://dirac.run/labs-market-share


Replies

jjicetoday at 6:37 PM

Correct me if I'm wrong, but OpenRouter doesn't tell the whole story.

If I'm using OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google models, I'm probably using their API directly, so OpenRouter won't have those stats to compare to.

All that said, it is very exciting to see open model usage grow via OpenRouter.

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buddhistdudetoday at 4:17 PM

would love to see a statistic by model, and maybe some sort of classification to get a sense of how good the model is and how much it costs.

edit: this exists https://artificialanalysis.ai/

nonethewisertoday at 7:24 PM

Why would I use open router with claude? No thanks

xur17today at 5:45 PM

Interesting to see, but I also think more and more usage is moving towards subscriptions, which isn't captured by this metric.

(both my personal and corporate use has done exactly this)

ofjcihentoday at 4:03 PM

This right here is going to be considered one of the first major signs of the downfall of closed models years from now.

And look, if you disagree with me PLEASE tell me why. What moat do these companies have? I genuinely want to know because looking at the spend for companies like OAI and Anthropic with no actual moat I can identify is actually driving me insane.

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slopinthebagtoday at 5:01 PM

If we use the same logic as the AI boosters and just assume we're in exponential growth, that means in a year open models will be handling 523T tokens.