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TheOtherHobbeslast Sunday at 12:16 PM5 repliesview on HN

Manias go back a long way.

The history of the UK's railway mania in the 1840s is worth researching, because it's uncannily similar, with a stock bubble, fraudsters and chancers, huge hype, cutthroat competition, boardroom intrigue and drama, miles and miles of unnecessary infrastructure in the wrong places, and eventually a technology that became useful, but could have been developed more intelligently.


Replies

dgellowlast Sunday at 1:03 PM

I recommend the book/audiobook „ Boom and Bust A Global History of Financial Bubbles“, it does a great job covering various bubbles, with historical context, and going through the details of regulatory and economic factors

https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/boom-and-bust/D09C2E3BE...

parpfishlast Sunday at 12:46 PM

And manias are so foundational to the relatively young field of AI that they made the term “AI winter”. We should brace for the third (I think) AI winter soon

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dofmlast Sunday at 5:00 PM

The paradox of the cutbacks after the railway industry corrected is that more or less every track they got rid of would now be useful. The Beeching cut damage done to East Sussex, for example, is devastating and unfixable.

luke5441last Sunday at 2:43 PM

And railways are now mostly state-funded infrastructure. Seems plausible to me that the same will happen with LLMs.

phil21last Sunday at 5:05 PM

Manias are required for humans to develop a new technology. It’s just part of the human condition.

Tilting at windmills over the stupidity of it is just something I’m trying to get over and not care about at a personal level. Nothing I can do about it either way!