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Grombobulousyesterday at 10:00 PM1 replyview on HN

Moore's law is over in the literal sense but silicon continues to advance relatively quickly.

This claim isn't really outlandish in any way. It's not hard to imagine:

- Future models being able to handle current frontier models' workflows with much higher efficiency.

- Future consumer devices like phones having 2-4x the RAM onboard along with GPU/NPU performance greatly increased in 10-15 years.


Replies

dmoyyesterday at 10:21 PM

Moore's law for 10-15 years was more like 20-100x ram sizes, not 2-4x.

Performance, storage, etc is definitely getting better, but it's a different scale of improvement

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