alt Hacker NewsCan a MUD evaluate LLMs? A $99 proof of concept
I'm the author of a paper my friends and I wrote after we were curious if a MUD, text games originating in the 1970s, could be used to evaluate LLMs. We've spent the last several months on nights and weekends running this experiment and writing the paper on just our personal computers with about $99 in API credits.
Our experiment did have an interesting leaderboard but even more surprising was the measurements of each LLM. We scored each on four behavioral dimensions, two of which lean heavily on an LLM classifier. When we removed those two, one of the frontier models fell six positions. When we then checked the classifier against a second judge, the per-model agreement between them ranged from 85% to 22%. The aggregate kappa (0.04 on probe detection) indicated the instrument was noisy without saying which models the noise was hitting. The most affected model shared a model family with the classifier. This isn't proof of bias, just one observation we recorded.
We realize LLM judges can be unreliable, and while it wasn't our original intent to test this, it ended up being the most interesting finding. The divergence between the two judges is the finding we think generalizes to other judge-based benchmarks.
We emphasize this is just a proof of concept and not a validated benchmark. We prepared a thorough limitations section in the paper, including just 50 runs per model, overlapping CIs among the top models, no human raters, a tiny environment, etc.
Everything we did is publicly available, the paper and data are CC BY 4.0, while the code is MIT. The paper, transcripts, code, and complete API billing export can be found at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21386663
If you find issues, please let us know, that's why we're sharing this. We're currently designing Phase 2 and want it to be as robust as possible. We're looking at human baselines, multiple judges, more objectives, a larger environment, etc.
Comments
> the measurements of each LLM
I think you have the correct idea.
If you ask an LLM to solve a multiplication problem using reasoning without code tools, depending on the model, it will get 15 digit (15D) * 15 digit multiplication correct (123456789012345 x 998765432109876). It will take between 4000 and 8000 tokens if Sonnet. Eventually with enough digits, it will start only solving the problem 80% ... then 70% of the time until it has so many digits it will never solve. There will be a certain number of digits where it will not converge on a solution nor will it stop working thinking it can solve it. That is very, very expensive. It takes a lot of runs to determine the probability it will solve it.
What you can do now, this is likely the most important thing, is change the prompt and evaluate how many tokens and at what speed it takes to accomplish the task. Sure the measurements of each LLM are important! Nonetheless, if you can say to a company that you have a technique to tune prompts and evaluate them so instead of spending $1 X 100,000 times a day, they can instead spend $0.90 X 100,000 times a day, you will make a ton of money.
Withered technology - that's a nice turn of phrase. I think I'll start using that to refer to some of the 2000s era MS tech we're saddled with that gets a coat of paint and some KBs to cover CVEs but ultimately is rather withered...
I was a bit afraid that MUD was an acronym for something else, I clicked in about 10% hope that this will be for multi user dungeons and behold, thank you. Interesting read.
That brought back memories when we were trying to find free terminal in few departments at our uni to get access to one that has internet connectivity.
+1 to using MUD as a learning tool. Learn about agent loops, prompting iteration, etc.
I vibe coded a few room proof of concept MUD. I added a tools called `oracle` (aka me) that it could ask me questions to help along its way; and the ability to interject in the loop with a hint. Just as I might want an llm to stop to ask me for help instead of plodding along...
Interesting to limit the number of turns and see where it gets stuck or how quickly it can finish.
Speaking of MUD, has anyone tried attaching an AI to the Hitchhikers MUD[1]?
[1]: https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/articles/1g84m0sXpnNCv84GpN...
"We did not choose a MUD because it is charming. We chose it because its constraints make behavior measurable." I so fucking hate these LLMisms
A little irrelevant, but I need to vent about something MUD adjacent.
I really wish MUDs were still a thing. The text-based roleplaying communities were largely swallowed by Discord, where as before they existed scattered over proboards, jcink, and a few others.
Discord, being the imperfect text platform, limits the text and leaves most interaction limited by awkward formatting. To boot, even when a better ecosystem is invented, players refuse to give it a shot even if directly invited, because they got comfortable with Discord's terribleness.
It's so frustrating, and I don't know how to voice it, or even what can be done.