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tacktatoday at 10:27 AM0 repliesview on HN

Is there really that much money in bleeding edge scientific research though?

This is what terrifies me about this whole ordeal economically. Maybe we get AGI and it is not worth anything close to what we thought it was for those who have a bet on it.

I think of what was the direct, economic value in the betting sense of quantum mechanics or relativity? Huge value at the systems level of society but as you scale down towards the individual the value is more and more dispersed to the point I would think any pool of bets would have all not paid off.

You can't monopolize and commoditize relativity.

I almost think there is a kind of dutch book against the AI equity holder because even in the best case scenario the bet doesn't pay off anything close to what is expected for an individual bet.