Let’s say somehow the politics lined up and you were given huge hiring budget for your team. You went out and recruited what seemed like great talent. Weekly standups make it seem like everyone is ramped up and firing on all cylinders.
It’s great, right? But you look at what your team has actually delivered since—-and it’s just not that much more than last year.
I think that’s where a lot of us are at the micro and macro level. It seems really great from the inside and outside but we are still waiting to see the dramatic change in actual concrete software output.
what for?
Escape the tech bubble and you're going to have a very different take.
AppleScript, VB script, IFTT, so many "drag and drop to program" systems that failed. The holy grail for a long time has been automation in users hands. Let them have their own scripts and solutions.
I have lawyers and writers talking to me about "docker containers" and "cron jobs" all of a sudden. You think they figured that out on their own - or is what they are running all from the output of AI/LLM?
There is an ocean of code out there that is being run by one or a hand full of users, automating tasks that you never would have looked at because it would have fallen outside the "is it worth your time" (see: https://xkcd.com/1205/) matrix (never mind the dollar cost of coder vs office drone).
There's been a dramatic increase in sloppy kinda-working something.vercel.com output in niche circles. I think that shows at least a weak demand for certain types of software, but it's not clear that the vast piles of cash that have been burned producing these "apps" are actually resulting in quality of life improvements.