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PeterHolzwarthtoday at 12:17 AM3 repliesview on HN

Article grabbed at random that provides some more context (tho could use more):

https://www.cyberkendra.com/2026/07/deepseek-pauses-fundrais...

"The Hangzhou AI lab has told prospective investors in its second fundraising round that it is suspending the deal, people familiar with the matter told Bloomberg on Saturday, days after remarks attributed to founder Liang Wenfeng about US-China AI competition circulated widely online."

And:

"Tencent's technology outlet published a 118-item version covering AGI strategy, chip supply, pricing, and retention. In it, Liang reportedly framed China's disadvantage as an arithmetic problem rather than a talent one: "The biggest gap between us and the US is in resources.""

"The specifics were unusually candid. Liang is said to have told investors he needed 200,000 Huawei 950 chips to train a frontier model but received 16,000, adding that "Huawei's problem is still insufficient capacity" and expecting the crunch to last at least three years. He also floated narrowing the gap with US labs to three to six months using a fraction of their computing."


Replies

torginustoday at 11:08 AM

I wonder if it would be viable for the Chinese to pursue a huge buildout of less sophisticated logic fabs. My experience with GPGPU is that it seems to intensely skew towards memory bandwidth, and has a much lower compute intensity than graphics (by which I mean rasterization and shaders).

This seems to be holding true for AI as well. I'm sure if you have an excess of compute and a dearth of bandwidth, you can trade the former for the latter, but still, this is a fundamenta property.

A lot of talk has been said about how companies are doing 'financial tricks' to extend the useful life of GPUs by showing lower depreciation - but what if these are not tricks at all - new GPUs don't really have that much more bandwidth, and while they might be clever in some other ways, they are limited in how much they can improve fundamentals.

This has been reflected in how memory vendors' stock price has exploded, but NVIDIA stayed stagnant.

Since the Chinese are far closer to the US in building SOTA memory chips, it's possible that their disadvantages are far overstated.

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downrightmiketoday at 8:24 PM

And that's why OpenAI bought all the future ram contracts

cyanydeeztoday at 12:28 AM

this bodes well for continuing to refine smaller models and open sourcing them.

There's a delusion that what America's AI companies are doing is "best"; the chinese should realize that the forefront is bloated and there's likely hundreds of speed ups viable. Pushing open weights will continue to grind down the bloat.

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